World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
France U21 vs Luxembourg U21 Prediction
· Stade du Moustoir
Match prediction
- France's unbeaten eight-match record and perfect home wins support the winner advice, though the model's 50% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
- Luxembourg's five defeats in eight and 2.4 goals conceded per game show a defensive fragility France's three-goal average should exploit.
- The head-to-head 5-1 France win in Luxembourg reinforces the pick, but a single meeting is a small sample worth treating cautiously.
- France's 24 goals scored against five conceded, with no failed-to-score games, indicate consistent attacking output backing the home winner.
- Luxembourg's recent 5-0 loss to Switzerland mirrors their earlier collapse to France, suggesting vulnerability against stronger opposition.
- France's perfect penalty record and three clean sheets add marginal reliability, though Luxembourg's occasional wins show they are not entirely harmless.
- Predicted winner
- France U21
- Betting advice
- Winner : France U21
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | France U21 | Luxembourg U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Attack | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| Defence | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| Poisson | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Total | 78.4% | 21.6% |
Team form and goal analysis
France U21
Recent form: WWDWWWDW.
Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.
Luxembourg U21
Recent form: LDLLWLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Luxembourg U21 1–5 France U21 (26 Mar 2026)


