World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

France U21 vs Luxembourg U21 Prediction

· Stade du Moustoir

France U21 badgeFrance U21 vs Luxembourg U21 badgeLuxembourg U21

Match prediction

  • France's unbeaten eight-match record and perfect home wins support the winner advice, though the model's 50% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
  • Luxembourg's five defeats in eight and 2.4 goals conceded per game show a defensive fragility France's three-goal average should exploit.
  • The head-to-head 5-1 France win in Luxembourg reinforces the pick, but a single meeting is a small sample worth treating cautiously.
  • France's 24 goals scored against five conceded, with no failed-to-score games, indicate consistent attacking output backing the home winner.
  • Luxembourg's recent 5-0 loss to Switzerland mirrors their earlier collapse to France, suggesting vulnerability against stronger opposition.
  • France's perfect penalty record and three clean sheets add marginal reliability, though Luxembourg's occasional wins show they are not entirely harmless.
Predicted winner
France U21
Betting advice
Winner : France U21
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorFrance U21Luxembourg U21
Form68.0%32.0%
Attack69.0%31.0%
Defence82.0%18.0%
Poisson90.0%10.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals83.0%17.0%
Total78.4%21.6%

Team form and goal analysis

France U21

Recent form: WWDWWWDW.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Luxembourg U21

Recent form: LDLLWLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Luxembourg U21 1–5 France U21 (26 Mar 2026)
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