Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife Prediction
Match prediction
- Fortaleza's strong home record of nine wins and one loss in fifteen anchors the double-chance advice despite Nautico's superior attack rating.
- The model's equal 45 percent home and draw probabilities, with away at just 10, justify covering both outcomes rather than backing a single winner.
- Fortaleza's defensive rating of 69 against Nautico's 31 is the clearest separator, supporting the low away probability.
- Nautico's away form is weak with only three wins and seven losses, undermining any case for an away upset.
- Fortaleza's recent form of three wins and two draws in five contrasts with Nautico's two losses, reinforcing the home-or-draw lean.
- Head-to-head favors Fortaleza heavily at 93 versus 7, though the most recent meeting was a Nautico home win, a minor qualifier.
- Predicted winner
- Fortaleza EC
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Fortaleza EC or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Fortaleza EC | Nautico Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Attack | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Defence | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| Poisson | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| H2h | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Goals | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| Total | 68.3% | 31.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Fortaleza EC
Recent form: LDWWWDWDLWLWLDWWLWLWDDDWDWWDWD.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Nautico Recife
Recent form: LWWLLWDWWWLLDLLDLLWDDDWDWWLDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Nautico Recife 0–1 Fortaleza EC (10 Jun 2026)
- Fortaleza EC 2–1 Nautico Recife (26 Feb 2023)
- Fortaleza EC 2–0 Nautico Recife (26 Mar 2022)
- Nautico Recife 2–2 Fortaleza EC (12 Feb 2022)
- Nautico Recife 0–3 Fortaleza EC (14 Mar 2020)