Fort Wayne vs Forward Madison Prediction
· Ruoff Mortgage Stadium
Match prediction
- The model's near-even split, with draw and home each at 35%, makes the double chance advice the logical expression of Fort Wayne's slight edge.
- Fort Wayne's superior attack rating and home scoring average contrast with Forward Madison's stronger overall form, explaining why the probabilities stay compressed.
- Forward Madison's defensive solidity, reflected in a low goals-against average, is the main reason the model cannot separate the sides more decisively.
- Fort Wayne's home clean-sheet record and Madison's away scoring struggles support the home-or-draw lean despite Madison's better recent results.
- The single head-to-head meeting ended level, reinforcing the draw probability and cautioning against reading too much into either side's form trend.
- Madison's tendency to lose away and Fort Wayne's modest home win rate together justify covering the draw rather than backing a straight home victory.
- Predicted winner
- Fort Wayne
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Fort Wayne or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Fort Wayne | Forward Madison |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Attack | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 21.0% | 79.0% |
| Poisson | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Fort Wayne
Recent form: LDLWDWWDWDDDWWLWLLLLWWLWLDD.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Forward Madison
Recent form: WWLDWLLWLWDWWWWWWLDWDWDWDLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Forward Madison 1–1 Fort Wayne (18 Jun 2026)