Canada · Canadian Premier League
Forge vs Pacific FC Prediction
· Tim Hortons Field
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Forge or draw
Forge vs
Pacific FC
Match prediction
- Forge's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings all point one way, supporting the double-chance advice even though the model splits home and draw evenly.
- Pacific's single clean sheet and 2.00 goals-against average expose a defensive fragility that makes a Forge win or draw the safer combined outcome.
- Forge's perfect head-to-head and goals comparison scores reflect venue-specific dominance, but Pacific's away wins in this rivalry caution against reading that as absolute.
- Pacific's recent 5-0 defeat and only two wins all season reinforce the low 10% away probability, justifying the draw as the main alternative to a home win.
- Forge's tendency to draw recent matches, including three straight, explains why the model rates draw equal to home rather than backing Forge outright.
- Both teams concede heavily after halftime, so Pacific's late-goal vulnerability could still trouble a Forge side that has itself drawn frequently.
- Predicted winner
- Forge
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Forge or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Forge | Pacific FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Attack | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Forge
Recent form: WWDWWWLWWWWWWDLLWWLDWDDD.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Pacific FC
Recent form: LLDLLLLDDLLLLLDDLWDDLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Forge 2–0 Pacific FC (23 Aug 2026)
- Pacific FC 0–1 Forge (27 Apr 2026)
- Forge 4–0 Pacific FC (27 Sep 2025)
- Forge 2–0 Pacific FC (19 Jul 2025)
- Pacific FC 0–1 Forge (24 May 2025)
