Canada · Canadian Premier League

Forge vs Pacific FC Prediction

· Tim Hortons Field

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Forge or draw

Forge badgeForge vs Pacific FC badgePacific FC

Match prediction

  • Forge's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings all point one way, supporting the double-chance advice even though the model splits home and draw evenly.
  • Pacific's single clean sheet and 2.00 goals-against average expose a defensive fragility that makes a Forge win or draw the safer combined outcome.
  • Forge's perfect head-to-head and goals comparison scores reflect venue-specific dominance, but Pacific's away wins in this rivalry caution against reading that as absolute.
  • Pacific's recent 5-0 defeat and only two wins all season reinforce the low 10% away probability, justifying the draw as the main alternative to a home win.
  • Forge's tendency to draw recent matches, including three straight, explains why the model rates draw equal to home rather than backing Forge outright.
  • Both teams concede heavily after halftime, so Pacific's late-goal vulnerability could still trouble a Forge side that has itself drawn frequently.
Predicted winner
Forge
Betting advice
Double chance : Forge or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorForgePacific FC
Form54.0%46.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson74.0%26.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total59.5%40.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Forge

Recent form: WWDWWWLWWWWWWDLLWWLDWDDD.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Pacific FC

Recent form: LLDLLLLDDLLLLLDDLWDDLDW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Forge 2–0 Pacific FC (23 Aug 2026)
  2. Pacific FC 0–1 Forge (27 Apr 2026)
  3. Forge 4–0 Pacific FC (27 Sep 2025)
  4. Forge 2–0 Pacific FC (19 Jul 2025)
  5. Pacific FC 0–1 Forge (24 May 2025)
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