Challenge Cup · Scotland

Forfar Athletic vs Dundee United II Prediction

· Station Park

Forfar Athletic badgeForfar Athletic vs Dundee United II badgeDundee United II

Current score: Forfar Athletic 2–0 Dundee United II (First Half)

Match prediction

The existing model gives Dundee United II a 45% chance of winning and the same 45% chance of a draw, leaving Forfar Athletic at just 10%, so the advice of a draw-or-away double chance reflects a strongly one-sided but not decisive reading. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Dundee United II lead form (75 vs 25), attack (75 vs 25) and Poisson (100 vs 0), yet Forfar's defence score of 63 against Dundee United II's 38 is the one category pointing the other way. The head-to-head, goals and total comparison fields are all populated with zeros, which suggests no usable historical or goal-based edge was found rather than a genuine balance between the sides. Forfar's three-match form of LDL fits their record of no wins, one draw and two defeats, with both home losses including a 0-3 reverse and two failures to score at home. Dundee United II's LLWL over four away matches is superficially similar, but it contains the only win either side has recorded recently and a 2-3 away victory, even though three of their four games ended in defeat and one was a 5-0 loss. The goals analysis sharpens that contrast: Forfar average just 0.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dundee United II average 0.80 scored but 2.50 conceded, so both teams carry significant defensive risk. Forfar's only goal came in the 91-105 minute window, whereas Dundee United II scored twice between 16-30 and once between 61-75, hinting their threat is spread earlier in matches. The last-five records add further qualification, as Forfar's sequence includes a 1-0 win over Annan Athletic and a 1-1 draw at Banks O' Dee alongside heavy defeats, while Dundee United II's run is almost entirely away and includes a 0-6 loss to Inverness CT. With no head-to-head data available at all, the double chance rests mainly on Dundee United II's superior form and attacking scores, but their poor defence and habit of losing away mean the draw half of that advice is doing meaningful work.

Predicted winner
Dundee United II
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Dundee United II
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorForfar AthleticDundee United II
Form25.0%75.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence63.0%38.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total37.7%62.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Forfar Athletic

Recent form: LDL.

Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.

Dundee United II

Recent form: LLWL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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