Norway · NM Cupen

Flint vs Sandefjord Prediction

Flint badgeFlint vs Sandefjord badgeSandefjord

Match prediction

  • Sandefjord's 15-0 cup win and 88 attack rating dwarf Flint's modest 2-0 result, supporting the away winner despite a small sample.
  • The model's 45-45 split between Sandefjord and a draw signals genuine uncertainty, so the win advice carries clear risk.
  • Both teams' defensive ratings sit at zero, meaning the model cannot separate them defensively and leans on attacking output instead.
  • Sandefjord's 15 goals came against weaker Eidanger opposition, so that scoreline overstates the likely margin here.
  • The +11.5 goals line depends on Sandefjord's outlier 15-goal game, while their other recent matches produced far fewer goals.
  • The sole head-to-head, a 5-1 Sandefjord cup win in 2022, mildly reinforces the away side's historical edge.
Predicted winner
Sandefjord
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Sandefjord and +11.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+11.5

Prediction comparison

FactorFlintSandefjord
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack12.0%88.0%
Defence0.0%0.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals17.0%83.0%
Total26.3%73.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Flint

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Sandefjord

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 15.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Flint 1–5 Sandefjord (22 Jun 2022)
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