Italy · Serie D - Girone E

Flaminia vs Gavorrano Prediction

Flaminia badgeFlaminia vs Gavorrano badgeGavorrano

Match prediction

  • Gavorrano's unbeaten form and three clean sheets in five justify the model's 45% away win probability, though the equal draw probability tempers outright confidence.
  • Flaminia's attack matches Gavorrano's output, but their weak defence rating and 2.50 away goals conceded per game explain the low 10% home win probability.
  • The head-to-head record is perfectly split, with Gavorrano winning the last three meetings, supporting the double chance while cautioning against a guaranteed away victory.
  • Gavorrano's defensive consistency, conceding only twice in five matches, contrasts sharply with Flaminia's leaky backline, reinforcing the draw-or-away advice.
  • Both teams scoring exactly eight goals suggests comparable attacking output, yet Gavorrano's superior defensive metrics and form make the double chance the safer selection.
  • Flaminia's home form includes two wins and a draw, so their 10% win probability may understate their chances, but Gavorrano's overall superiority still favours the advised double chance.
Predicted winner
Gavorrano
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Gavorrano
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorFlaminiaGavorrano
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence20.0%80.0%
Poisson27.0%73.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total40.5%59.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Flaminia

Recent form: WWDLW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Gavorrano

Recent form: WDWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Flaminia 1–2 Gavorrano (02 Feb 2025)
  2. Gavorrano 1–2 Flaminia (06 Oct 2024)
  3. Flaminia 0–1 Gavorrano (25 Feb 2023)
  4. Gavorrano 3–3 Flaminia (23 Oct 2022)
  5. Flaminia 3–1 Gavorrano (27 Apr 2022)
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