FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Panevėžys Prediction
Match prediction
- Panevėžys's superior form, defence and head-to-head record justify the model's decision to favour them despite playing away.
- The draw and away-win probabilities are identical at 45%, so the double-chance advice correctly hedges rather than committing to an outright result.
- Zalgiris's home form is strong but their away form is weak, and this fixture's neutral venue removes that home advantage.
- Panevėžys's recent away wins and clean sheets support the model's confidence, though their small away sample limits certainty.
- The head-to-head record is mixed, with both sides winning home fixtures, which explains why the model cannot separate draw from away win.
- Zalgiris's low home probability of 10% reflects their poor defensive metrics relative to Panevėžys's stronger overall profile.
- Predicted winner
- Panevėžys
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Panevėžys
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | Panevėžys |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Attack | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Defence | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Total | 40.2% | 60.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Recent form: LWLWW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Panevėžys
Recent form: DWWWWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Panevėžys 2–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (30 Aug 2026)
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–0 Panevėžys (16 Jun 2026)
- Panevėžys 2–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (03 May 2026)
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4–1 Panevėžys (27 Feb 2026)
- Panevėžys 3–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (08 Nov 2025)