FK Spartak Tambov vs Kvant Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output points to a home win for FK Spartak Tambov, with probabilities of 50% home, 50% draw and 0% away, so the advice is best read as a strong lean rather than a certainty given the unusually large draw share. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Spartak Tambov dominate form (91.00 vs 9.00), attack (69.00 vs 31.00), defence (76.00 vs 24.00), Poisson (91.00 vs 9.00), goals (89.00 vs 11.00) and total (83.20 vs 16.80), while the head-to-head split of 100.00 to 0.00 is the most one-sided input of all. The team analysis supports this: Spartak Tambov have 18 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 24 matches with 12 clean sheets and only 3 failures to score, whereas Kvant have 1 win, 4 draws and 19 losses with no clean sheets at all. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast, as Spartak Tambov concede just 0.60 per game overall and score 1.80, while Kvant concede 2.80 and score only 1.00, meaning the away side's defensive record is the weakest single number in the evidence. Recent form is consistent with the season-long picture, since Spartak Tambov's last five produced three wins and two draws, including a 3-0 win over Orel, while Kvant's last five yielded one draw and four defeats, including a 2-6 home loss to Saturn Ramenskoye. The head-to-head record does introduce a qualification, because although Spartak Tambov lead it overall, Kvant won the most recent meeting 3-1 in June 2026 and have also recorded 5-0 and 3-0 away wins in this fixture in 2025 and 2024. That recent head-to-head result is a small sample against a much larger body of form, goals and comparison evidence, so it weakens the certainty of the home-win advice without overturning it. The 50% draw probability is the main internal tension, since a model that assigns no chance to Kvant still leaves half the probability outside a home win, which is consistent with the possibility that the recent 3-1 defeat reflects a genuine matchup problem. Overall, the evidence jointly supports the existing home-win advice through Spartak Tambov's superior form, defence and goals profile, but the recent head-to-head loss and the large draw share mean the prediction should be treated as a directional lean rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Predicted winner

FK Spartak Tambov

Betting advice

Winner : FK Spartak Tambov

Home win probability

50%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

0%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Kvant 1–3 FK Spartak Tambov (06 Jun 2026)
2. FK Spartak Tambov 3–1 Kvant (26 Jul 2025)
3. Kvant 0–5 FK Spartak Tambov (05 Apr 2025)
4. FK Spartak Tambov 2–0 Kvant (25 Aug 2024)
5. Kvant 0–3 FK Spartak Tambov (12 May 2024)