Second League A - Division A Gold · Russia
FK Sokol Saratov vs Mashuk-KMV Prediction
· Stadion Lokomotiv
Match prediction
The existing model gives FK Sokol Saratov a 35% home win probability and a 35% draw probability against Mashuk-KMV, with only 30% for an away win, which is why the advice is a double chance on Sokol Saratov or draw rather than a straight home victory. That narrow edge is not strongly reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Mashuk-KMV's form score of 63.00 is clearly better than Sokol Saratov's 38.00, while Sokol Saratov leads on attack (60.00 vs 40.00), defence (29.00 vs 71.00), and Poisson (60.00 vs 40.00), leaving the total scores nearly level at 47.80 and 52.30. The head-to-head and goals comparison metrics are both split 50.00-50.00, and the only head-to-head meeting in the evidence, a 1-1 draw in August 2026, offers a small sample that is consistent with the draw-heavy profile of both sides. Sokol Saratov's ten-match form line of DLDWLDLDDL contains just one win, five draws, and four losses, and their five home matches produced one win, three draws, and one loss, so their home record is more resilient than their away record of no wins, two draws, and three losses. Their goals analysis shows 1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per match, with no clean sheets in ten matches and a notable concentration of goals conceded late, including six in the 76-90 minute window. Mashuk-KMV's form line of DWDDDDLWLD is more stable, with two wins, six draws, and only two losses, and their defensive numbers are much stronger at 0.80 goals conceded per match, supported by four clean sheets, although they have failed to score in five of ten matches. Their away form is more mixed, with one win, one draw, and two losses on the road, and their last five results include two 0-0 draws alongside a 3-1 home win and two away defeats, which suggests a low-scoring, draw-prone profile rather than a clear winning one. Sokol Saratov's last five also lean toward draws and defeats, with three draws, two losses, and only one match in which they scored more than once, so the evidence overall supports the cautious double-chance advice while the form and defensive metrics for Mashuk-KMV keep the away side a live threat.
- Predicted winner
- FK Sokol Saratov
- Betting advice
- Double chance : FK Sokol Saratov or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | FK Sokol Saratov | Mashuk-KMV |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Attack | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Defence | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Poisson | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
FK Sokol Saratov
Recent form: DLDWLDLDDL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Mashuk-KMV
Recent form: DWDDDDLWLD.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Mashuk-KMV 1–1 FK Sokol Saratov (02 Aug 2026)


