Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest
FK Minyor Pernik vs Slavia Sofia II Prediction
· Stadion Minyor
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since the away side carries only a 10% win probability.
- Minyor Pernik's superior form and defensive record, including six clean sheets, support the home-or-draw recommendation.
- Slavia Sofia II's away record of zero wins and three scoreless defeats materially weakens their case despite a marginally stronger attack metric.
- The head-to-head split, with each side winning once, tempers any assumption of home dominance and reinforces the draw component of the advice.
- Minyor's low-scoring recent matches and strong defence suggest a tight contest, consistent with the draw probability matching the home win probability.
- Slavia Sofia II's reliance on home form, where all four wins occurred, further supports avoiding an away win in the prediction.
- Predicted winner
- FK Minyor Pernik
- Betting advice
- Double chance : FK Minyor Pernik or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | FK Minyor Pernik | Slavia Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Attack | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Defence | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Poisson | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Total | 66.8% | 33.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
FK Minyor Pernik
Recent form: WWDLDWWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Slavia Sofia II
Recent form: WLLLWLWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- FK Minyor Pernik 2–1 Slavia Sofia II (01 May 2024)
- Slavia Sofia II 1–3 FK Minyor Pernik (08 Nov 2023)


