Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W Prediction
· Curva Fiesole - Viola Park
Match prediction
- The model gives Fiorentina and the draw identical 45% shares, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Fiorentina's 71% head-to-head score is undercut by Sassuolo winning the most recent meeting at this same venue.
- Both teams lost their opening fixture, making current form uninformative and leaving the head-to-head record as the stronger signal.
- Sassuolo's 100% attack rating stems from scoring in a single match, a small sample that should not outweigh Fiorentina's historical dominance.
- Fiorentina's 60% defence rating against Sassuolo's 40% suggests the hosts are better equipped to avoid defeat, supporting the draw-inclusive advice.
- Sassuolo's heavy recent defeats to Roma show vulnerability, yet their away win at Fiorentina warns against backing the home side outright.
- Predicted winner
- Fiorentina W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Fiorentina W or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Fiorentina W | Sassuolo W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Defence | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 63.7% | 36.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Fiorentina W
Recent form: L.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Sassuolo W
Recent form: L.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Fiorentina W 1–2 Sassuolo W (23 Aug 2026)
- Fiorentina W 3–2 Sassuolo W (22 Feb 2026)
- Sassuolo W 0–1 Fiorentina W (02 Nov 2025)
- Fiorentina W 1–1 Sassuolo W (19 Jan 2025)
- Sassuolo W 1–3 Fiorentina W (12 Oct 2024)