Finn Harps vs Kerry Prediction
· Finn Park
Finn Harps vs 
Kerry
Match prediction
- Kerry's stronger recent form and superior defensive record support the double-chance advice, though the draw carries equal probability to an away win.
- Finn Harps' poor home record, with only four wins in sixteen, weakens their case despite the venue advantage at Finn Park.
- Kerry's away form is notably weaker than their home form, which explains why the model splits probability evenly between draw and away win.
- Head-to-head results are perfectly balanced, with home advantage consistently deciding fixtures, so the draw-or-Kerry advice hedges against that pattern.
- Finn Harps' attack ranks higher than Kerry's, but their defensive frailty and heavy loss record undermine any home-win confidence.
- Both teams concede most goals late, suggesting a tight contest where the draw component of the advice remains plausible.
- Predicted winner
- Kerry
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Kerry
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Finn Harps | Kerry |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Attack | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 42.3% | 57.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Finn Harps
Recent form: LWDDDLWDDLLLLWWLDLLLDWLLLLLLLLWLL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Kerry
Recent form: LLDDDWLLLDDLDWLWDLWWWLDWWWLDWWLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Kerry 2–1 Finn Harps (24 Jul 2026)
- Finn Harps 1–0 Kerry (08 May 2026)
- Kerry 1–0 Finn Harps (20 Mar 2026)
- Finn Harps 1–1 Kerry (13 Oct 2025)
- Kerry 0–1 Finn Harps (08 Aug 2025)