World · UEFA Nations League

Finland vs Albania Prediction

Finland badgeFinland vs Albania badgeAlbania

Match prediction

  • Albania's perfect two-win start, including a 3-0 away victory, supports the model's 45% away probability and the double-chance advice.
  • Finland's 7-0 win over San Marino is an outlier against a weak opponent, so their 10% win probability reflects limited attacking consistency.
  • Both teams' defensive records show zero goals conceded, yet Finland failed to score at home, suggesting Albania's edge comes from superior recent form.
  • The draw and Albania probabilities are equal at 45%, so the combo double chance correctly hedges the most likely outcomes.
  • Albania's goals are spread across multiple intervals, while Finland's scoring is concentrated, supporting the +2.5 goals expectation.
  • Finland's attack rating exceeds Albania's, but their recent losses to stronger sides and a home draw weaken that statistical advantage.
Predicted winner
Albania
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Albania and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorFinlandAlbania
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence0.0%0.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total49.0%51.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Finland

Recent form: WD.

Average goals scored: 3.50 per match.

Albania

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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