Fiľakovo vs Dolný Kubín Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a Fiľakovo win, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability, so the advice of “Winner : Fiľakovo” rests on a narrow edge rather than a clear separation, with Dolný Kubín assigned only 10%. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Fiľakovo leads on form (60 vs 40), attack (83 vs 17), defence (60 vs 40) and Poisson (82 vs 18), yet the head-to-head split is perfectly even at 50–50 and the goals comparison actually tilts slightly to Dolný Kubín (53 vs 47). Fiľakovo’s seven-match record of three wins, three draws and one loss is built almost entirely at home, where they have three wins from four and a 6-1 high, while all three away games were drawn and their only defeat was a 2-5 home loss to Námestovo. Their goals profile shows a pronounced home-away split, averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded at home against 0.70 and 0.70 away, and their last five mix a 6-1 win over Fomat Martin with a 0-2 loss to Dukla Banská Bystrica and three draws or defeats. Dolný Kubín’s form line of one win, one draw and five losses, including a four-match losing streak, is the weakest part of their case, and their goals analysis is stark: 0.70 scored per game overall, 2.40 conceded, and no match this season with more than one goal scored. Their last five show a 1-0 home win over Kysucké Nové Mesto and a 1-1 draw at Sokol Medzibrod, but also a 0-3 home loss to Námestovo and a 6-0 away defeat at Ružomberok II, underlining how rarely they score and how heavily they can concede. The head-to-head record complicates the home-side argument, because although Fiľakovo won 5-3 at home in September 2025 and 1-0 in May 2022, Dolný Kubín won the most recent meeting 3-0 in April 2026 and also took the 2021 fixture 5-1, so the historical edge is not one-directional. Taken together, the broad trend favours Fiľakovo through form, attack and Poisson, but the even head-to-head, the near-equal goals split and the unusually high draw probability mean the model’s own output frames this as a marginal call rather than a confident one.

Predicted winner

Fiľakovo

Betting advice

Winner : Fiľakovo

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Dolný Kubín 3–0 Fiľakovo (18 Apr 2026)
2. Fiľakovo 5–3 Dolný Kubín (21 Sep 2025)
3. Dolný Kubín 1–0 Fiľakovo (29 Mar 2025)
4. Fiľakovo 2–2 Dolný Kubín (01 Sep 2024)
5. Fiľakovo 1–0 Dolný Kubín (18 May 2022)