Argentina · Primera Nacional

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn Prediction

· Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry

Ferro Carril Oeste badgeFerro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn badgeDeportivo Madryn

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the coherent expression of a genuinely even contest.
  • Ferro's stronger recent form and superior defence are offset by Madryn's attacking edge and head-to-head record, explaining why home win probability stays low.
  • Both teams' goal records show almost every match finishing under 3.5, directly supporting the unders component of the advice.
  • Ferro's last five produced only four goals total, reinforcing the low-scoring expectation despite Madryn's higher overall scoring rate.
  • Head-to-head history leans toward Madryn and features mostly tight, low-scoring results, consistent with the draw-or-away selection.
  • Madryn's away form is weaker than their home form, a caution that qualifies but does not overturn the double-chance recommendation.
Predicted winner
Deportivo Madryn
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Deportivo Madryn and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorFerro Carril OesteDeportivo Madryn
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack40.0%60.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson47.0%53.0%
H2h38.0%62.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total48.0%52.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste

Recent form: WDDLLWDLWLWWWWDWWWWWWLLWWWDDDWW.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Deportivo Madryn

Recent form: LDDLWDWWLWDWLWDDDWLDDWWDWWLWLWD.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Deportivo Madryn 0–1 Ferro Carril Oeste (17 May 2026)
  2. Ferro Carril Oeste 1–1 Deportivo Madryn (20 Jul 2025)
  3. Deportivo Madryn 1–0 Ferro Carril Oeste (16 Mar 2025)
  4. Deportivo Madryn 1–0 Ferro Carril Oeste (22 Jul 2023)
  5. Ferro Carril Oeste 0–0 Deportivo Madryn (17 Mar 2023)
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