Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn Prediction
· Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the coherent expression of a genuinely even contest.
- Ferro's stronger recent form and superior defence are offset by Madryn's attacking edge and head-to-head record, explaining why home win probability stays low.
- Both teams' goal records show almost every match finishing under 3.5, directly supporting the unders component of the advice.
- Ferro's last five produced only four goals total, reinforcing the low-scoring expectation despite Madryn's higher overall scoring rate.
- Head-to-head history leans toward Madryn and features mostly tight, low-scoring results, consistent with the draw-or-away selection.
- Madryn's away form is weaker than their home form, a caution that qualifies but does not overturn the double-chance recommendation.
- Predicted winner
- Deportivo Madryn
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Deportivo Madryn and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Madryn |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Ferro Carril Oeste
Recent form: WDDLLWDLWLWWWWDWWWWWWLLWWWDDDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Deportivo Madryn
Recent form: LDDLWDWWLWDWLWDDDWLDDWWDWWLWLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Deportivo Madryn 0–1 Ferro Carril Oeste (17 May 2026)
- Ferro Carril Oeste 1–1 Deportivo Madryn (20 Jul 2025)
- Deportivo Madryn 1–0 Ferro Carril Oeste (16 Mar 2025)
- Deportivo Madryn 1–0 Ferro Carril Oeste (22 Jul 2023)
- Ferro Carril Oeste 0–0 Deportivo Madryn (17 Mar 2023)


