FC Thun vs SC Kriens Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities show Thun favored but not dominant, so the combo advice leans on goals rather than a clear result.
- Thun's superior attack, Poisson, goals, and head-to-head splits all point the same direction, supporting the home side despite the modest win probability.
- Kriens' recent form includes two wins and two draws, so their 10% away probability may understate their resistance in a friendly.
- Thun's home scoring average of 3.80 and Kriens' 1.70 away average make the +1.5 goals component the more secure half of the advice.
- Both teams scored in nearly every recent match, and neither recorded many clean sheets, reinforcing the expectation of at least two goals.
- The head-to-head record is mixed with away wins, which tempers confidence in a straightforward Thun victory even as the goals angle holds.
- Predicted winner
- FC Thun
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : FC Thun and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | FC Thun | SC Kriens |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Attack | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Defence | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Poisson | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| Total | 66.5% | 33.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
FC Thun
Recent form: WWWDL.
Average goals scored: 3.80 per match.
SC Kriens
Recent form: LLWWDD.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- FC Thun 1–2 SC Kriens (18 Jan 2025)
- FC Thun 3–1 SC Kriens (02 Apr 2022)
- SC Kriens 0–1 FC Thun (05 Mar 2022)
- FC Thun 3–1 SC Kriens (26 Nov 2021)
- SC Kriens 1–3 FC Thun (31 Jul 2021)