FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction
Match prediction
- Gladbach's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings all point one way, supporting the model's away win and over 1.5 goals advice.
- The 50-50 split between away win and draw, with zero home probability, shows the model sees only two realistic outcomes here.
- Gladbach's recent five-match run includes three defeats, so their strong aggregate metrics may overstate current momentum.
- St. Pauli's low scoring rate and weak defensive rating suggest they are unlikely to outscore Gladbach, though a draw remains plausible.
- Head-to-head history favours Gladbach, yet St. Pauli have won at this venue before, adding uncertainty to the away-win component.
- Both teams' goal data show frequent matches exceeding 1.5 goals, reinforcing the over 1.5 element of the combined advice.
- Predicted winner
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Borussia Mönchengladbach and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | FC St. Pauli | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Poisson | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| Total | 30.3% | 69.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
FC St. Pauli
Recent form: DWWWWLD.
Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Recent form: LDWWWWWWW.
Average goals scored: 3.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 FC St. Pauli (13 Mar 2026)
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 FC St. Pauli (02 Dec 2025)
- FC St. Pauli 0–4 Borussia Mönchengladbach (01 Nov 2025)
- FC St. Pauli 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (06 Apr 2025)
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 FC St. Pauli (24 Nov 2024)