1. Division · Belarus

FC Slutsk vs Gomel II Prediction

· Stadyen Haradski

FC Slutsk badgeFC Slutsk vs Gomel II badgeGomel II

Final result: FC Slutsk 4–3 Gomel II (Match Finished)

Match prediction

The existing model output points to a double chance on FC Slutsk or draw, with the probabilities split evenly at 50% home and 50% draw and Gomel II assigned 0%, so the advice is effectively a bet against an away win rather than a strong call on a Slutsk victory. That framing is supported by the comparison metrics, where Slutsk leads on form (92.00 vs 8.00), defence (88.00 vs 12.00), Poisson (81.00 vs 19.00), goals (75.00 vs 25.00) and total (80.00 vs 20.00), while the head-to-head metric is the most extreme at 100.00 to 0.00. The season records reinforce this: Slutsk have 15 wins, 6 draws and only 4 defeats in 25 matches, including 9 home wins without a single home loss, whereas Gomel II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 14 defeats, with 8 of their 13 home games lost. Slutsk's goals analysis shows a solid 1.90 scored and just 1.00 conceded per game, and their defensive record is especially notable at home (0.70 conceded per match), which helps explain why the model sees little room for an away victory. Gomel II's numbers pull in the opposite direction, with 1.30 scored but 1.90 conceded per game, and their home defensive average of 2.20 conceded is the weakest figure in the evidence set. The last-five records sharpen the contrast: Slutsk are unbeaten with three wins and two draws, including a 3-0 away win at Orsha and a 4-1 home win over Bumprom, while Gomel II have lost four of five, conceding five at home to Slonim and four at home to Uni Minsk. The head-to-head record is the clearest single data point, a 3-1 away win for Slutsk at Gomel II in May 2026, but it is only one match and therefore a small sample that should not be over-weighted on its own. One qualification is that Slutsk's two most recent matches before this fixture were draws, and their 50% draw probability suggests the model still sees a meaningful chance of dropped points, so the double chance is a cautious reading rather than a confident win forecast. Overall, the form, defensive, Poisson and head-to-head evidence align in favour of the existing advice, while the draw probability and the single-match nature of the head-to-head data keep the conclusion appropriately uncertain.

Predicted winner
FC Slutsk
Betting advice
Double chance : FC Slutsk or draw
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorFC SlutskGomel II
Form92.0%8.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence88.0%12.0%
Poisson81.0%19.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total80.0%20.0%

Team form and goal analysis

FC Slutsk

Recent form: WWWWWDLWWWWWLDWDWLLDDWDWW.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Gomel II

Recent form: LDWWLLDDLDLLWWDLLLWLLDLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Gomel II 1–3 FC Slutsk (31 May 2026)
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