Netherlands · Eerste Divisie

FC OSS vs MVV Prediction

· Frans Heesen Stadion

FC OSS badgeFC OSS vs MVV badgeMVV

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since neither outcome is favoured outright.
  • FC OSS's strong home record, with two wins and no draws, contrasts with MVV's superior overall form, explaining the split probabilities.
  • MVV's away defensive vulnerability, conceding three goals per away game, supports the home side's attacking edge despite their weaker recent form.
  • The head-to-head record heavily favours FC OSS at home, reinforcing the double chance advice while MVV's form keeps a draw plausible.
  • FC OSS's reliance on home goals, averaging two per home match versus 0.4 away, makes their venue advantage central to the prediction.
  • MVV's tendency to score late and concede late suggests goals are likely, though the model offers no under-over guidance.
Predicted winner
FC OSS
Betting advice
Double chance : FC OSS or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorFC OSSMVV
Form46.0%54.0%
Attack54.0%46.0%
Defence63.0%37.0%
Poisson69.0%31.0%
H2h85.0%15.0%
Goals82.0%18.0%
Total66.5%33.5%

Team form and goal analysis

FC OSS

Recent form: LLLWLLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

MVV

Recent form: WWWWDLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. MVV 0–2 FC OSS (24 Apr 2026)
  2. FC OSS 4–0 MVV (08 Aug 2025)
  3. MVV —–— FC OSS (19 Jul 2025)
  4. FC OSS 1–0 MVV (10 Jan 2025)
  5. MVV 2–2 FC OSS (27 Sep 2024)
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