FC Obermais vs Mestre Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Mestre as the winner, yet its own probabilities split evenly at 50% draw and 50% away with 0% for an Obermais win, so the advice carries less conviction than a single outright pick might suggest. That split is echoed in the comparison metrics, where Mestre leads on form (67 versus 33), attack (60 versus 40), defence (70 versus 30), goals (80 versus 20), and total (69.30 versus 30.80), while the Poisson and head-to-head columns are the most extreme at 100% away versus 0% home. The team analysis supports that edge without making it overwhelming: Mestre is unbeaten across four matches with a WDDW sequence, two wins and two draws, whereas Obermais sits on LWDL with one win, one draw and two losses. Mestre's defensive record is the clearest separator, conceding only three goals in four games at 0.80 per match and keeping two clean sheets, both away from home, while Obermais has shipped seven at 1.80 per match and kept just one clean sheet. Obermais's scoring is also thinner at 1.00 goal per game against Mestre's 1.50, and its home numbers are especially concerning, with three goals scored but six conceded across two home fixtures, including a 2-5 loss to Cjarlins Muzane. The last-five records reinforce the same pattern but also expose Mestre's limits, since Mestre's most recent outings include a 3-2 home win over Altavilla and a 0-0 draw at Bassano Virtus, plus a 2-0 win at Calvi Noale, yet it also failed to score in one of those games and drew 1-1 with Luparense. Obermais's recent form is more volatile, featuring a 1-0 win at Este and a 1-1 home draw with LME but also a 0-1 loss at Conegliano and that heavy home defeat. The head-to-head record is only two matches and therefore a small sample, but it points the same way: Mestre won 3-1 at home in January 2026, while Obermais won 1-0 at home in September 2025, giving Mestre the 100% head-to-head comparison value. Overall, the evidence consistently tilts toward Mestre through defence, form and goal output, but the even draw-versus-away probability and Mestre's two draws in four games mean the existing advice should be read as a lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner

Mestre

Betting advice

Winner : Mestre

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Mestre 3–1 FC Obermais (11 Jan 2026)
2. FC Obermais 0–1 Mestre (14 Sep 2025)