FC Nöttingen vs Türkspor Neckarsulm Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 35% home and 35% draw probabilities justify double chance despite Nöttingen's nine-match winless form.
• Nöttingen's 100% head-to-head and 75% goals comparison offset their poor recent form, supporting the home side's inclusion.
• Türkspor's superior form and defence ratings conflict with the model's even split, suggesting the away win probability is not negligible.
• Both attacks rate equally at 50%, while Nöttingen's weaker defence rating explains why the model avoids a straight home win.
• Nöttingen's 2.10 goals-against average and Türkspor's 1.80 suggest both teams concede, making the draw component of double chance valuable.
• The near-even Poisson split of 51% to 49% confirms this is a marginal fixture where double chance reduces risk rather than backing a clear winner.

Predicted winner

FC Nöttingen

Betting advice

Double chance : FC Nöttingen or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Türkspor Neckarsulm 1–4 FC Nöttingen (11 Apr 2026)
2. FC Nöttingen 2–1 Türkspor Neckarsulm (15 Oct 2025)