FC Lok Stendal vs Optik Rathenow Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Optik Rathenow a 45% win probability and the draw another 45%, leaving FC Lok Stendal at just 10%, which is why the advice is a double chance on draw or Rathenow rather than a straight away win. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where form is dead level at 50.00 each and head-to-head is also split 50/50, so the model is not claiming clear superiority for either side. The sharper split appears in attack and defence: Stendal rate 64.00 for attack against Rathenow's 36.00, while Rathenow rate 62.00 for defence against Stendal's 38.00, and the Poisson figures push much further toward Rathenow at 73.00 versus 27.00. The goals analysis complicates that picture, since Stendal have scored 7 goals at 1.40 per game while Rathenow have managed only 4 at 0.80, yet Rathenow's defensive record of 1.00 conceded per game is better than Stendal's 1.60. Both teams arrive with identical DLWWL form over five matches, but the underlying details differ: Stendal have failed to score only once, whereas Rathenow have been shut out three times, including a 0-3 home loss to Hertha Zehlendorf and a 0-0 draw with BAK '07. Rathenow's two clean sheets and their 2-0 away win at Union Klosterfelde suggest a low-scoring, defensively organised profile, which fits the model's heavy weighting toward the draw and away double chance. The head-to-head record is less useful as a guide, because all five meetings are friendlies and the results swing wildly, from Stendal's 5-0 win in 2025 to Rathenow's 6-2 win in 2021 and a 5-0 Rathenow win in 2020. Overall, the evidence points to a tight, low-scoring contest in which Rathenow's defensive solidity and the Poisson edge support the draw-or-away advice, while Stendal's superior attacking output and home advantage are the main reasons the model still assigns a meaningful 45% to the draw rather than backing Rathenow outright.

Predicted winner

Optik Rathenow

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Optik Rathenow

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. FC Lok Stendal 5–0 Optik Rathenow (01 Feb 2025)
2. Optik Rathenow 1–3 FC Lok Stendal (12 Jul 2023)
3. Optik Rathenow —–— FC Lok Stendal (22 Jan 2022)
4. FC Lok Stendal 2–6 Optik Rathenow (03 Jul 2021)
5. Optik Rathenow 5–0 FC Lok Stendal (01 Aug 2020)