FC Lisse vs EVV Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward an FC Lisse win combined with over 1.5 goals, though its 45% home and 45% draw probabilities suggest the win is far from assured and the away side is given only a 10% chance. That caution is partly explained by the comparison metrics, where FC Lisse dominates form (92.00 vs 8.00), defence (76.00 vs 24.00) and Poisson (87.00 vs 13.00), while attack is a narrower 58.00 against 42.00 and the head-to-head, goals and total splits are all level at 0.00, meaning those specific inputs carry no separating information. The team analysis reinforces the same asymmetry: FC Lisse have five wins and one loss across six matches with a five-game winning streak, whereas EVV have no wins, one draw and five defeats, including a five-match losing run. FC Lisse's goal profile is also stronger, averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, with 11 goals for and only five against, while EVV average 1.20 scored but 2.70 conceded, having shipped 16 goals. The over 1.5 component of the advice gains support from FC Lisse's goals-for under-over line, where five of six matches went over 0.5 and three of six went over 1.5, and from EVV's goals-against line, where all six matches went over 0.5 and four of six went over 1.5. However, the last-five records introduce a qualification, because FC Lisse's sequence is not perfectly clean: they lost 1-0 away to Zwaluwen most recently and also lost 2-1 away to SC Genemuiden, even though they beat TOGB 3-2, Vvsb 2-1 and Excelsior Maassluis 1-0. EVV's last five are similarly mixed rather than uniformly poor, with a 3-1 home win over Halsteren and a 3-1 away win at Hercules offset by a 1-1 draw with Groene Ster, a 4-1 loss at UDI '19 and a 0-1 home defeat to Poortugaal. The head-to-head section is empty, so no historical meeting data can be used to confirm or contradict the model's view, and the goals-for and goals-against minute breakdowns are also unavailable, leaving the timing of goals unexplained. Overall, the form, defensive and Poisson evidence broadly supports the FC Lisse side of the combo, but the level head-to-head and goals splits, FC Lisse's recent away defeats and EVV's occasional scoring bursts mean the prediction should be treated as a plausible lean rather than a certain outcome.

Predicted winner

FC Lisse

Betting advice

Combo Winner : FC Lisse and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.