FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann Prediction
Match prediction
- Liefering's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities reflect a clear edge, yet the equal split signals the model sees little separation between victory and stalemate.
- Liefering's recent form of three straight losses undercuts the strong season-long home record, so the double chance advice carries more risk than the headline numbers suggest.
- St. Johann's single recorded match, a 5-3 home win, is too small a sample to trust, weakening any inference drawn from their form or goal averages.
- Liefering's goals-for distribution skews heavily late, with 43.75% arriving after the 76th minute, supporting the over 2.5 goals component of the advice.
- Liefering's home scoring average of 2.10 against a modest 0.70 conceded at home makes the +2.5 goals leg plausible but not dominant, since most home matches stayed under 2.5.
- The head-to-head record strongly favours Liefering historically, but those meetings date back years, so it reinforces rather than independently justifies the prediction.
- Predicted winner
- FC Liefering
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : FC Liefering or draw and +2.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +2.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | FC Liefering | TSV St. Johann |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Goals | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| Total | 69.8% | 30.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
FC Liefering
Recent form: DWDDWWWWLL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
TSV St. Johann
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 5.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- FC Liefering 3–1 TSV St. Johann (22 Apr 2019)
- TSV St. Johann 0–2 FC Liefering (07 Sep 2018)
- TSV St. Johann 1–1 FC Liefering (30 Mar 2018)
- FC Liefering 5–1 TSV St. Johann (25 Aug 2017)
- FC Liefering 2–0 TSV St. Johann (30 Oct 2016)