FC Levante Badalona W vs Granada Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output points to a double chance on FC Levante Badalona W or draw, with probabilities of 45% home, 45% draw and only 10% away, so the advice rests on a narrow edge rather than a clear favourite. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where the home side leads on form (70.00 vs 30.00), attack (60.00 vs 40.00) and defence (69.00 vs 31.00), yet the Poisson values are both 0.00 and therefore offer no independent signal. The goals comparison cuts the other way, with Granada ahead 69.00 to 31.00, and the head-to-head split of 71.00 to 29.00 in Granada's favour is the strongest counterweight to the home-side advice. Recent form supports the prediction more than the historical record does: Badalona's last five read W-W-L-W-D, including a 4-1 win at Eibar and a 0-0 home draw with Real Sociedad, while Granada's W-L-L-L-L includes a 0-3 home defeat to Deportivo and a 0-1 loss at Alavés. The team analysis shows Badalona with two wins, one draw and one loss from four games, two clean sheets and only one failure to score, whereas Granada have one win and three defeats from four, no clean sheets and two blanks. Granada's goal profile is the more alarming, conceding nine goals at 2.30 per game with 62.5% of those concessions before half-time, against Badalona's four conceded at 1.00 per game. Badalona's attacking output is modest at 1.50 goals per game and their home sample is just one match without a goal, so the 45% draw probability looks like a fair reflection of a low-scoring home side rather than a dominant one. The head-to-head record is the clearest conflict, since Granada won the most recent meeting 4-0 in Badalona and have taken five of the last six encounters, which tempers confidence in a home win even though the double chance still covers the draw. With only four league games played by each side and a single home fixture for Badalona, the form and goals samples are small, so the evidence overall supports the double chance as a cautious position rather than a strong one.

Predicted winner

FC Levante Badalona W

Betting advice

Double chance : FC Levante Badalona W or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. FC Levante Badalona W 0–4 Granada (15 Mar 2026)
2. Granada 0–2 FC Levante Badalona W (07 Sep 2025)
3. FC Levante Badalona W 0–2 Granada (08 Feb 2025)
4. Granada 1–1 FC Levante Badalona W (16 Nov 2024)
5. FC Levante Badalona W 1–2 Granada (09 Mar 2024)