Belgium · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

FC Lebbeke vs Ninove Prediction

FC Lebbeke badgeFC Lebbeke vs Ninove badgeNinove

Match prediction

  • Ninove's 45% win and 45% draw probabilities leave Lebbeke only 10%, so the double-chance advice is the model's clearest signal.
  • Ninove's stronger form and attack ratings align with the win-or-draw advice, though Lebbeke's superior Poisson score is a counterweight.
  • Both teams' recent matches show goals, and Ninove's 2.8 goals per game supports the +1.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Lebbeke's defence concedes 2.2 goals per game while Ninove scores freely, reinforcing the expectation of at least two goals.
  • Ninove's head-to-head and goals dominance favour the away side, but their two losses in five show the draw risk the advice hedges.
  • Lebbeke's winless home record and Ninove's mixed away form make the draw a genuine possibility within the double chance.
Predicted winner
Ninove
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Ninove and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorFC LebbekeNinove
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson58.0%42.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total40.6%59.4%

Team form and goal analysis

FC Lebbeke

Recent form: LLLDW.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Ninove

Recent form: LLDWW.

Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ninove —–— FC Lebbeke (26 Apr 2020)
  2. FC Lebbeke 0–1 Ninove (07 Dec 2019)
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