Belgium · Second Amateur Division - VFV A
FC Lebbeke vs Ninove Prediction
FC Lebbeke vs
Ninove
Match prediction
- Ninove's 45% win and 45% draw probabilities leave Lebbeke only 10%, so the double-chance advice is the model's clearest signal.
- Ninove's stronger form and attack ratings align with the win-or-draw advice, though Lebbeke's superior Poisson score is a counterweight.
- Both teams' recent matches show goals, and Ninove's 2.8 goals per game supports the +1.5 goals component of the advice.
- Lebbeke's defence concedes 2.2 goals per game while Ninove scores freely, reinforcing the expectation of at least two goals.
- Ninove's head-to-head and goals dominance favour the away side, but their two losses in five show the draw risk the advice hedges.
- Lebbeke's winless home record and Ninove's mixed away form make the draw a genuine possibility within the double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Ninove
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Ninove and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | FC Lebbeke | Ninove |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Poisson | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 40.6% | 59.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
FC Lebbeke
Recent form: LLLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Ninove
Recent form: LLDWW.
Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Ninove —–— FC Lebbeke (26 Apr 2020)
- FC Lebbeke 0–1 Ninove (07 Dec 2019)
