FC Koln W vs SC Freiburg W Prediction
· Franz-Kremer Stadion
Match prediction
- The model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since neither outcome is clearly favoured.
- Koln's perfect home record with two clean sheets supports the home side of the double chance, though Freiburg's stronger head-to-head record tempers that confidence.
- Koln's superior form and attack ratings align with the home-leaning advice, but Freiburg's advantage in goals scored suggests the visitors can still threaten.
- Freiburg's away form is weak, with both defeats coming on the road, which reinforces the case for covering the draw alongside a Koln win.
- Identical defensive ratings and Koln's clean-sheet home record point to a tight, low-margin match where the draw leg carries real value.
- The head-to-head history shows narrow, low-scoring results, supporting a cautious double-chance approach over backing Koln to win outright.
- Predicted winner
- FC Koln W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : FC Koln W or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | FC Koln W | SC Freiburg W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Attack | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Total | 48.6% | 51.6% |
Team form and goal analysis
FC Koln W
Recent form: LWWWL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
SC Freiburg W
Recent form: DWLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- FC Koln W 1–0 SC Freiburg W (24 Jan 2026)
- SC Freiburg W 1–0 FC Koln W (12 Sep 2025)
- SC Freiburg W 2–0 FC Koln W (15 Feb 2025)
- FC Koln W 0–2 SC Freiburg W (28 Sep 2024)
- FC Koln W 2–0 SC Freiburg W (21 Apr 2024)