FC Gifu vs Renofa Yamaguchi Prediction
· Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest rather than a confident away win.
- Renofa's superior form and defensive metrics support their inclusion, while Gifu's strong home scoring average warns against backing an away victory alone.
- Gifu's recent five-match slump of four defeats conflicts with their high Poisson rating, suggesting the model weights venue and scoring output more than current momentum.
- Head-to-head history leans toward Renofa and produced few Gifu wins, reinforcing the away side's edge within the double-chance framing.
- Both teams' goal profiles cluster heavily under 2.5, so the prediction's silence on over/under reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a strong total-goals signal.
- Gifu's 7-0 home win inflates their attacking average, meaning the 50-50 attack comparison may overstate their typical offensive output.
- Predicted winner
- Renofa Yamaguchi
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Renofa Yamaguchi
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | FC Gifu | Renofa Yamaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Poisson | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
FC Gifu
Recent form: WWDWLLLW.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Renofa Yamaguchi
Recent form: LWLDWWWD.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- FC Gifu 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi (06 Oct 2019)
- Renofa Yamaguchi 4–0 FC Gifu (22 Jun 2019)
- Renofa Yamaguchi 4–1 FC Gifu (07 Oct 2018)
- FC Gifu 2–2 Renofa Yamaguchi (23 Jun 2018)
- Renofa Yamaguchi 0–1 FC Gifu (16 Sep 2017)