FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap Prediction
· Jan Louwers Stadion
Match prediction
- The model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities justify double chance rather than an outright win, since the away side retains a meaningful 30% chance.
- Eindhoven's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the home side, though the narrow total-score margin shows this is not a dominant edge.
- De Graafschap's strong head-to-head and goals records conflict with Eindhoven's overall statistical advantage, which explains why the draw is priced equally to a home win.
- Both teams' recent matches show frequent losses and high goals against, so the double chance reflects Eindhoven's relative strength rather than defensive reliability.
- Eindhoven's home form includes two wins and no clean sheets, suggesting the double chance covers a plausible draw while their attacking edge provides the upside.
- De Graafschap's tendency to concede late and lose heavily away keeps them vulnerable, but their head-to-head record warns against expecting a comfortable Eindhoven victory.
- Predicted winner
- FC Eindhoven
- Betting advice
- Double chance : FC Eindhoven or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | FC Eindhoven | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Attack | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Total | 49.2% | 50.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
FC Eindhoven
Recent form: WLLLDWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
De Graafschap
Recent form: DLLLLWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- FC Eindhoven 2–2 De Graafschap (03 Apr 2026)
- De Graafschap 2–0 FC Eindhoven (30 Nov 2025)
- FC Eindhoven 1–0 De Graafschap (11 Apr 2025)
- De Graafschap 2–0 FC Eindhoven (06 Sep 2024)
- FC Eindhoven 0–1 De Graafschap (19 Jan 2024)