Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
FC Cartagena vs Águilas Prediction
· Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Cartagena's defensive score of 67 against Águilas's 33 supports favoring the home side, though identical form and attack ratings temper that advantage.
- Both teams have failed to score in two of their matches, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Cartagena's goals-for and goals-against distributions show every match staying under 3.5, while Águilas also never exceeded that line.
- The only head-to-head meeting ended goalless, consistent with a low-scoring forecast despite its limited predictive weight.
- Águilas's away record of no wins in two trips and a 1.50 away goals-against average slightly strengthens the home-or-draw selection.
- Predicted winner
- FC Cartagena
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : FC Cartagena or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | FC Cartagena | Águilas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
FC Cartagena
Recent form: WDDL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Águilas
Recent form: DLWDL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Águilas 0–0 FC Cartagena (26 Jul 2023)