FC Augsburg vs Hertha BSC Prediction

Match prediction

• Hertha's superior form and away record support the model's lean toward them, though the equal 45% home and draw probabilities show the win is far from secure.
• Augsburg's stronger attack rating conflicts with Hertha's better defence and Poisson edge, so the model likely weights recent form and defensive solidity over raw attacking output.
• Hertha's goals-against average of 0.80 away contrasts sharply with Augsburg's leaky 2.70 home defence, reinforcing the away side's edge in this fixture.
• The +3.5 goals advice fits Hertha's high-scoring profile, but their own matches mostly stayed under 3.5, making that goal line the riskier half of the combo.
• Head-to-head results are mixed across ten meetings, so historical precedent offers little decisive support for either side beyond the model's existing probabilities.
• Augsburg's last five show three wins but also recent losses, while Hertha arrive on a five-match winning run, tilting momentum toward the visitors.

Predicted winner

Hertha BSC

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Hertha BSC and +3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Hertha BSC 2–0 FC Augsburg (25 Feb 2023)
2. FC Augsburg 0–2 Hertha BSC (04 Sep 2022)
3. FC Augsburg 0–1 Hertha BSC (16 Apr 2022)
4. Hertha BSC 1–1 FC Augsburg (27 Nov 2021)
5. Hertha BSC 2–1 FC Augsburg (06 Mar 2021)