Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest
FC 08 Homburg vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. Prediction
Match prediction
- Homburg's perfect recent form and superior attack and defence ratings justify favouring them, though the model's 45% home win probability keeps outright victory uncertain.
- Fulda-Lehn's five straight defeats and weak away scoring make an away win unlikely, supporting the double-chance advice.
- The head-to-head record leans toward Fulda-Lehn, but four of the last five meetings were draws, reinforcing the draw component of the advice.
- Both teams' goal data show most matches staying under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight, low-scoring contest consistent with a cautious double chance.
- Homburg's inability to keep clean sheets this season means Fulda-Lehn could still score, so the draw remains a genuine risk within the advice.
- The equal 45% home and draw probabilities indicate the model sees little separation, making the combined double chance the safer expression of Homburg's edge.
- Predicted winner
- FC 08 Homburg
- Betting advice
- Double chance : FC 08 Homburg or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | FC 08 Homburg | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Defence | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Poisson | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| H2h | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Goals | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Total | 54.6% | 45.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
FC 08 Homburg
Recent form: WLWLDWWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
Recent form: WLDDLLLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- FC 08 Homburg 1–1 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (25 Apr 2026)
- Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 3–3 FC 08 Homburg (26 Oct 2025)
- Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 1–1 FC 08 Homburg (17 May 2025)
- FC 08 Homburg 1–1 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (16 Nov 2024)
- FC 08 Homburg 0–2 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (10 Dec 2023)