FBK Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Eskilstuna's superior attack and Poisson ratings conflict with FBK Karlstad's stronger defence and head-to-head record, explaining the cautious draw-inclusive pick.
- Eskilstuna's away form is formidable, scoring 2.9 goals per away match, which tempers confidence in a home win despite the favourable venue.
- FBK Karlstad's recent five-match run of three wins and two clean-sheet draws shows defensive solidity that supports avoiding an outright away selection.
- Eskilstuna's tendency to concede late, with over a third of goals scored after 76 minutes, suggests the match could stay undecided deep into the second half.
- The head-to-head record favours FBK Karlstad, including a 2-0 away win in May, reinforcing the home-or-draw advice over backing Eskilstuna.
- Predicted winner
- FBK Karlstad
- Betting advice
- Double chance : FBK Karlstad or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | FBK Karlstad | AFC Eskilstuna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Poisson | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| H2h | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Goals | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
FBK Karlstad
Recent form: WWLWWWWDDDLLWLLDWLWWWDDW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
AFC Eskilstuna
Recent form: DLDLLLWDLWWWDWWWWWWWWWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- AFC Eskilstuna 0–2 FBK Karlstad (02 May 2026)
- AFC Eskilstuna 3–1 FBK Karlstad (21 Feb 2026)
- FBK Karlstad 3–0 AFC Eskilstuna (10 Aug 2024)
- AFC Eskilstuna 2–2 FBK Karlstad (15 Jun 2024)