3. Lig - Group 1 · Turkey
Fatsa Belediyespor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Fatsa Belediyespor a 35% home win and 35% draw against Yalova Yeşilovaspor's 30%, which is why the advice is a double chance on Fatsa or draw rather than a straight home win. That narrow edge is only partly echoed in the comparison metrics, where Fatsa's form score of 56.00 and defensive score of 78.00 are stronger than Yalova's 44.00 and 22.00, but Yalova's attack score of 56.00 and Poisson score of 63.00 point the other way. The goals data sharpen this tension: Fatsa have conceded only 0.70 per game across their three matches, while Yalova have shipped 2.30 per game, including a 0-3 home loss and a 3-3 home draw. Yalova's attack is not negligible, though, averaging 1.70 goals per game and scoring in four of their five listed matches, so the defensive gap may not translate into a comfortable home clean sheet. Fatsa's own form is unbeaten but draw-heavy, with two draws and a win in their last three league games and no defeat in three, while their last-five record also includes two older April losses to Yeni Orduspor. Yalova's last five are more volatile, featuring a win at Beykoz, a loss at Galata, and a home defeat to Tokat Bld Plevnespor, which fits a profile of a team that can score but struggles to keep games under control. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical record to confirm or contradict the model's slight home preference, and the goals comparison fields for both teams are also zero, meaning those particular metrics add no signal. Overall, the evidence supports the cautious double-chance framing more than a confident home win, because Fatsa's defensive solidity and unbeaten run are offset by their limited scoring and the model's near-even probability split.
- Predicted winner
- Fatsa Belediyespor
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Fatsa Belediyespor or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Fatsa Belediyespor | Yalova Yeşilovaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Attack | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Defence | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| Poisson | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Fatsa Belediyespor
Recent form: DDW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
Recent form: LWD.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.