Farroupilha vs EC Novo Horizonte Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's near-even probabilities, with home and draw both at 35%, justify the double-chance advice rather than a straight home win.
- Farroupilha's stronger form and attack ratings support the home side, though their recent heavy away defeat shows the vulnerability behind that edge.
- Novo Horizonte's superior Poisson rating and better away record conflict with their weaker form, explaining why the model cannot separate the teams.
- Both sides concede regularly and neither keeps clean sheets, so the draw component of the double chance carries genuine weight.
- Farroupilha's home scoring average of one goal per game is modest, limiting confidence in an outright home victory.
- The absence of head-to-head history leaves form and goal data as the only basis, keeping the prediction appropriately cautious.
- Predicted winner
- Farroupilha
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Farroupilha or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Farroupilha | EC Novo Horizonte |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Poisson | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 48.3% | 52.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Farroupilha
Recent form: WLLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
EC Novo Horizonte
Recent form: LWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.