Falu BS vs Angby Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Falu BS a 45% home win and 45% draw against Angby’s 10%, framing the advice as a double chance on Falu BS or draw combined with over 1.5 goals. That cautious lean is supported by the Poisson split of 52% to 48% and a head-to-head score of 100% to 0%, but the single recorded meeting is a 2-1 away win for Falu BS at Angby, so the head-to-head evidence is directionally useful yet far too small a sample to be decisive. Form is perfectly level at 50.00 for both sides, while attack diverges sharply at 35.00 for Falu BS versus 65.00 for Angby, and defence is identical at 50.00, creating a tension in which Angby’s attacking edge is offset by Falu BS’s home advantage and the model’s overall totals. The season records deepen that tension: Falu BS have 12 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses with a 7-3-1 home split, whereas Angby have 13 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses and are actually stronger away (7-2-2) than at home. Falu BS’s goals analysis shows 35 scored and 25 conceded, with a 2.10 home scoring average but only 1.10 away, while Angby have 46 scored and 25 conceded, including a 2.60 away scoring average and a 1.50 away concession rate. Both teams’ recent five-match sequences are mixed rather than dominant: Falu BS have three wins, one draw and one loss, and Angby have three wins, one draw and one loss, with Angby’s 5-1 and 5-0 wins showing a higher attacking ceiling but also a 1-2 defeat at Täby. The goals-for under-over data supports the +1.5 component, since Falu BS have gone over 1.5 in 12 of 22 matches and Angby in 12 of 22, while both teams’ goals-against profiles keep most games below 2.5 and 3.5. Overall, the evidence supports a close, low-to-moderate-scoring contest in which Falu BS’s home record and the model’s double-chance advice are plausible, but Angby’s superior away attack and slightly better overall win total mean the draw and the +1.5 goals line carry real uncertainty rather than certainty.

Predicted winner

Falu BS

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Falu BS or draw and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Angby 1–2 Falu BS (18 Apr 2026)