Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain

Extremadura 1924 vs Zamora Prediction

· Estadio Francisco de la Hera

Extremadura 1924 badgeExtremadura 1924 vs Zamora badgeZamora

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Zamora with a "win or draw" double chance and an under -3.5 goals line, expressed through probabilities of 45% draw, 45% Zamora and only 10% for an Extremadura 1924 win. That split is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Zamora leads on form (57.00 vs 43.00), attack (71.00 vs 29.00) and Poisson (73.00 vs 27.00), while Extremadura's only clear edge is defensive (60.00 vs 40.00). The goals data supports the low-scoring advice, since neither side has seen a match go over 2.5 goals in four outings, and Zamora's goals-for average of 1.30 sits well beneath the -3.5 threshold. Extremadura's attacking output is especially thin at 0.50 goals per game, with both their goals arriving in the 61-75 minute window, and they have failed to score in two of four league matches. Zamora's profile is more balanced but still modest: they have scored in every match, yet their 1.00 goals-against average and lack of any clean sheet suggest they rarely dominate. The last-five records add nuance, as Extremadura's sequence of L-L-W-L-D includes three defeats and only one win, while Zamora's D-L-W-L-W shows alternating results rather than sustained momentum. Notably, Zamora's away form is their strongest asset, with a 1-2 win at Arenas Getxo and a 1-0 win at Real Madrid II, which helps explain why the model still favours them despite two home defeats. The head-to-head section is empty, so no historical meetings can be used to confirm or challenge the prediction, leaving the comparison metrics and recent form as the main basis. Overall, the evidence points to a tight, low-scoring contest where a draw or narrow Zamora result is plausible, though the small four-match samples and Extremadura's home clean sheet against Racing Ferrol mean the 10% home probability should be treated with caution rather than certainty.

Predicted winner
Zamora
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Zamora and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorExtremadura 1924Zamora
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson27.0%73.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total39.8%60.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Extremadura 1924

Recent form: LWLL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Zamora

Recent form: DLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

Loading interactive prediction…