Etimesgut SK vs Uşak Spor Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Etimesgut's perfect home defensive record, with no goals conceded and two clean sheets, supports the draw-inclusive safety of the advice.
- Uşak's attack rates higher than Etimesgut's, but that advantage is undercut by a defence conceding 2.5 goals per away game.
- Etimesgut's superior form and head-to-head record lean toward the home side, yet Uşak's away draws show why the draw remains plausible.
- Both teams score most heavily after halftime, suggesting a tight opening that could keep the match level for long stretches.
- The low away-win probability of 10% makes the double-chance selection the model's way of covering the most likely outcomes.
- Predicted winner
- Etimesgut SK
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Etimesgut SK or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Etimesgut SK | Uşak Spor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Attack | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Defence | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Total | 63.2% | 37.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Etimesgut SK
Recent form: WLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Uşak Spor
Recent form: DDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Uşak Spor 1–1 Etimesgut SK (19 Jan 2025)
- Etimesgut SK 1–2 Uşak Spor (07 Sep 2024)
- Etimesgut SK 1–0 Uşak Spor (06 Mar 2024)
- Uşak Spor 0–1 Etimesgut SK (22 Oct 2023)
- Uşak Spor 1–1 Etimesgut SK (29 Jan 2023)