Third League - Northwest · Bulgaria
Etar VT II vs Yantra Polski Trambesh Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Yantra Polski Trambesh a combined 90% chance of avoiding defeat, with the draw and away win each at 45% and Etar VT II winning only 10%, which frames the advice of draw-or-Yantra plus over 1.5 goals as a cautious lean rather than a strong away verdict. That caution is echoed in the comparison metrics, where Yantra leads on form (83 versus 17), attack (64 versus 36), head-to-head (62 versus 38), goals (56 versus 44) and overall total (60.8 versus 39.2), yet Etar retains a narrow edge in defence (54 versus 46) and Poisson (46 versus 54 in Yantra's favour), so the two models are not fully aligned. The form gap is the widest single split, but it rests on small samples: Etar's DLL covers only three matches, while Yantra's WDLD covers four, so the 83-versus-17 reading may overstate a genuinely short run of results. Etar's record shows no wins, one draw and two defeats, with both home and away goals-against averages of 2.00 and no clean sheets, suggesting a side that scores sporadically but rarely keeps opponents out. Yantra's profile is more balanced, with 1.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game, one win, two draws and one loss, and no clean sheets either, which supports the over 1.5 element of the advice while undercutting any expectation of a comfortable margin. The last-five records reinforce that tension: Etar have two losses and a draw in their recent league outings, including a 0-1 defeat at Partizan and a 2-3 loss at Akademik Svishtov, while Yantra drew 2-2 with Partizan, lost 0-2 to Akademik Svishtov, drew 2-2 at Kom Berkovitsa and beat Bdin 3-1. The head-to-head record is the most substantial evidence set and is genuinely mixed, with Yantra winning four of the ten meetings, Etar winning three and three ending level, including a 0-0 draw in May 2026 and a 3-2 Yantra away win in November 2025. Recent head-to-head results therefore lean slightly toward Yantra and toward goals, but the 0-0 draw in the most recent meeting is a direct counterweight to the over 1.5 component, and the historical home advantage for Yantra in this fixture is not available here because the venue is unspecified. Overall, the evidence supports the double-chance lean more than the goals component, since Yantra's superior form and head-to-head edge are offset by Etar's better defensive and Poisson ratings and by the low-scoring nature of the latest meeting.
- Predicted winner
- Yantra Polski Trambesh
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Yantra Polski Trambesh and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Etar VT II | Yantra Polski Trambesh |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Attack | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Defence | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Poisson | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Total | 39.2% | 60.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Etar VT II
Recent form: DLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Yantra Polski Trambesh
Recent form: WDLD.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Yantra Polski Trambesh 0–0 Etar VT II (22 May 2026)
- Etar VT II 2–3 Yantra Polski Trambesh (01 Nov 2025)
- Etar VT II 4–3 Yantra Polski Trambesh (30 Apr 2025)
- Yantra Polski Trambesh 2–0 Etar VT II (29 Sep 2024)
- Etar VT II 1–1 Yantra Polski Trambesh (17 Mar 2024)


