Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

Estradense vs Boiro Prediction

Estradense badgeEstradense vs Boiro badgeBoiro

Match prediction

  • Boiro's unbeaten four-match form, including two away clean sheets, supports the draw-or-away advice despite Estradense's perfect head-to-head home record.
  • Estradense's 100% head-to-head home score conflicts with Boiro's superior form, attack, and defence ratings, so the model hedges with double chance rather than a straight away win.
  • The near-even 45% away and 45% draw probabilities show the model sees little separation, making the double chance the logical expression of Boiro's edge.
  • Estradense's leaky defence, conceding in every match and twice shipping three or more at home, gives Boiro a clear route to at least a draw.
  • Boiro's away record of two wins without conceding contrasts sharply with Estradense's single home win, reinforcing why the away side is favoured to avoid defeat.
  • The small four-match sample and Estradense's historical home dominance over Boiro justify treating the away lean as qualified rather than decisive.
Predicted winner
Boiro
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Boiro
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorEstradenseBoiro
Form29.0%71.0%
Attack38.0%62.0%
Defence30.0%70.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total43.0%57.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Estradense

Recent form: LDWL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Boiro

Recent form: WWWD.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Boiro 1–2 Estradense (25 Jan 2026)
  2. Estradense 1–0 Boiro (06 Sep 2025)
  3. Estradense 2–1 Boiro (19 Jan 2025)
  4. Boiro 0–1 Estradense (08 Sep 2024)
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