Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Boiro Prediction
Estradense vs
Boiro
Match prediction
- Boiro's unbeaten four-match form, including two away clean sheets, supports the draw-or-away advice despite Estradense's perfect head-to-head home record.
- Estradense's 100% head-to-head home score conflicts with Boiro's superior form, attack, and defence ratings, so the model hedges with double chance rather than a straight away win.
- The near-even 45% away and 45% draw probabilities show the model sees little separation, making the double chance the logical expression of Boiro's edge.
- Estradense's leaky defence, conceding in every match and twice shipping three or more at home, gives Boiro a clear route to at least a draw.
- Boiro's away record of two wins without conceding contrasts sharply with Estradense's single home win, reinforcing why the away side is favoured to avoid defeat.
- The small four-match sample and Estradense's historical home dominance over Boiro justify treating the away lean as qualified rather than decisive.
- Predicted winner
- Boiro
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Boiro
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Estradense | Boiro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Defence | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Estradense
Recent form: LDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Boiro
Recent form: WWWD.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Boiro 1–2 Estradense (25 Jan 2026)
- Estradense 1–0 Boiro (06 Sep 2025)
- Estradense 2–1 Boiro (19 Jan 2025)
- Boiro 0–1 Estradense (08 Sep 2024)
