World · UEFA Nations League

Estonia vs Luxembourg Prediction

Estonia badgeEstonia vs Luxembourg badgeLuxembourg

Match prediction

  • Luxembourg's superior form and attack ratings, plus Estonia's weak defence, support the away side's edge despite the draw probability matching the win.
  • Estonia's two recent draws and single goal scored suggest a low-scoring contest, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Luxembourg's away win at Bulgaria shows scoring capability on the road, though their home loss to Iceland exposes defensive vulnerability.
  • The combined 45% draw probability and 45% away win justify the double chance covering both outcomes rather than backing Luxembourg outright.
  • Estonia's clean sheet away at Bulgaria indicates defensive resilience that could frustrate Luxembourg and keep the match tight.
  • Both teams' recent matches produced few goals, making the under 3.5 threshold consistent with their limited attacking output.
Predicted winner
Luxembourg
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Luxembourg and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorEstoniaLuxembourg
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence80.0%20.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total51.0%49.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Estonia

Recent form: DD.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Luxembourg

Recent form: WL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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