Estonia vs Iceland Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Iceland and -3.5 goals
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% Iceland split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest.
- Estonia's two draws and Iceland's draw in their recent meeting support the draw leg of the double chance.
- Iceland's superior form and attack ratings, plus a 3-0 win at Luxembourg, justify favouring them within the double chance.
- Both teams' goal records show every recent match staying under 3.5 goals, reinforcing the -3.5 goals component.
- Estonia's low scoring and Iceland's reliance on a single three-goal outlier suggest limited goal volume, supporting the under.
- Identical defence ratings and a 50-50 head-to-head record caution against expecting a decisive Iceland victory.
- Predicted winner
- Iceland
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Iceland and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Estonia | Iceland |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Attack | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 40.6% | 59.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Estonia
Recent form: DD.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Iceland
Recent form: DW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Iceland 1–1 Estonia (26 Sep 2026)
- Iceland 1–1 Estonia (08 Jan 2023)