Este vs Conegliano Prediction
Este vs
Conegliano
Match prediction
- Conegliano's superior form and head-to-head record justify the double-chance advice, though Este's home advantage and low scoring suggest a tight match.
- The near-even split between away win and draw probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty, making the combined draw-or-Conegliano bet the safer expression of the model's lean.
- Both teams' goal records strongly support the under 3.5 goals selection, as neither side has exceeded that threshold in any recent match.
- Este's attacking metrics outperform Conegliano's, but their poor home form and failure to score in three of five games undermine that statistical edge.
- Conegliano's away defensive vulnerability, conceding four in one road match, introduces risk that the double chance does not fully mitigate.
- The head-to-head history shows low-scoring, closely contested meetings, reinforcing both the draw-or-away advice and the under 3.5 goals expectation.
- Predicted winner
- Conegliano
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Conegliano and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Este | Conegliano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Defence | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Poisson | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 42.3% | 57.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Este
Recent form: WLLLD.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Conegliano
Recent form: LDWWL.
Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Conegliano 1–0 Este (01 Feb 2026)
- Este 1–1 Conegliano (28 Sep 2025)
