Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain

Espanyol II vs Arnedo Prediction

Espanyol II badgeEspanyol II vs Arnedo badgeArnedo

Match prediction

The existing model output points to Espanyol II as the winner and frames the advice as a combination of an Espanyol II win with over 3.5 goals, supported by probabilities of 50% home, 50% draw and 0% away. That split is notable because the same output assigns no chance at all to Arnedo, yet the comparison metrics show the two sides separated almost everywhere: form 100.00 versus 0.00, attack 80.00 versus 20.00, defence 75.00 versus 25.00, Poisson 100.00 versus 0.00 and total 77.50 versus 22.50. The only comparison fields that do not reinforce that gap are head-to-head and goals, both recorded at 0.00 for each team, which suggests those inputs are either neutral or unavailable rather than evidence against Espanyol II. Espanyol II's team analysis shows a WWL form line across three fixtures, with two wins and one loss, a 5-0 home win as their biggest victory and a 2-1 away defeat as their only loss, while Arnedo's LLL line covers three defeats, including a 1-4 home loss and a 4-1 away loss. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast: Espanyol II have scored 8 goals at 2.70 per game and conceded 3 at 1.00 per game, whereas Arnedo have scored 2 at 0.70 per game and conceded 9 at 3.00 per game. Espanyol II's scoring is spread across the match, with 25% in the opening 15 minutes, 37.5% in the 31-45 window and 25% in the 76-90 window, while Arnedo's two goals both arrived before the 30th minute, so Arnedo's attacking threat appears early and narrow. Arnedo's defensive record is the clearest qualifier for the over 3.5 element, since they have conceded at least two goals in two of three matches and their goals-against average of 3.00 is high, but Espanyol II's own matches have gone over 3.5 only once in three attempts, which tempers how strongly the goals data alone supports the combo. The last-five records add a small-sample caution: Espanyol II have four wins and one loss in their last five, including 5-0 and 3-0 home wins, while Arnedo have one win and four losses, with their only clean sheet coming in a 1-0 win over Tropezón back in June. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to confirm or contradict the model's strong home lean, and the overall picture therefore rests mainly on recent form, attacking output and Arnedo's defensive vulnerability rather than on direct matchup evidence.

Predicted winner
Espanyol II
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Espanyol II and +3.5 goals
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
+3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorEspanyol IIArnedo
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack80.0%20.0%
Defence75.0%25.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total77.5%22.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Espanyol II

Recent form: WWL.

Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.

Arnedo

Recent form: LLL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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