Érdi VSE vs Kaposvar Prediction
Match prediction
- Kaposvar's superior form and defensive record justify favoring them, though the model's equal draw probability tempers that edge.
- Érdi's attack rates comparably to Kaposvar's, so the low home win probability rests on defensive weakness rather than scoring impotence.
- Both teams' recent matches and goal distributions support the over 2.5 goals component of the advice.
- Head-to-head results are evenly split, which qualifies the away lean and explains the draw's elevated probability.
- Kaposvar's five-match winning streak preceded two losses, suggesting their form advantage may be less stable than it appears.
- Érdi's inability to keep clean sheets alongside Kaposvar's scoring output reinforces the combined goals and double-chance advice.
- Predicted winner
- Kaposvar
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Kaposvar and +2.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +2.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Érdi VSE | Kaposvar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Defence | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Poisson | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Érdi VSE
Recent form: DWDLLDWL.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Kaposvar
Recent form: WWWWWLLD.
Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Érdi VSE 2–1 Kaposvar (17 May 2026)
- Kaposvar 1–1 Érdi VSE (02 Nov 2025)
- Kaposvar 2–2 Érdi VSE (23 Aug 2025)
- Kaposvar 5–3 Érdi VSE (26 May 2024)
- Érdi VSE 1–2 Kaposvar (12 Nov 2023)