Erandio vs Amurrio Club Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours Erandio with a double-chance recommendation of "Erandio or draw," assigning 45% to a home win and 45% to a draw against only 10% for Amurrio, so the advice rests on the combined 90% covering the home side. That gap is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Erandio lead on form (75.00 vs 25.00), attack (75.00 vs 25.00), defence (56.00 vs 44.00) and overall total (68.70 vs 31.30), although the Poisson, head-to-head and goals columns all read 0.00 and therefore add no independent signal. The team analysis qualifies this dominance, since Erandio's form string is WLL and Amurrio's is LLD, meaning both arrive with two defeats from three and neither is in convincing rhythm. Erandio's record is split by venue: their only win was a 2-0 away at Pasaia KE, while their sole home outing ended 0-1, and they have failed to score at home, which undercuts the assumption of a strong home advantage. Amurrio have yet to win in three, drawing 0-0 with Sodupe but losing 1-2 at home to Aurrerá Vitoria and 3-0 away at Deportivo Alavés III, and they have failed to score in two of three. The goals analysis reinforces the low-scoring expectation, with Erandio averaging 1.00 goal per game and Amurrio just 0.30, while Amurrio's defensive average of 1.70 conceded is worse than Erandio's 1.30. Erandio's goals are spread evenly across the 0-15, 61-75 and 76-90 windows, whereas Amurrio's concessions are clustered in the 0-15, 31-45 and 61-75 periods, hinting at possible late or early vulnerabilities rather than a clear pattern. The last-five records extend the sample, but Amurrio's two extra entries date from April 2022 and are therefore of limited relevance to current form, and the head-to-head section is empty, so no direct meeting history can support or challenge the prediction. Overall, the 90% double-chance probability looks generous relative to the thin, mixed three-game samples, and the absence of Poisson, goals and head-to-head inputs means the advice is driven mainly by the form and attack splits rather than a fully corroborated model.

Predicted winner

Erandio

Betting advice

Double chance : Erandio or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.