Epinal vs Creteil Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the natural expression of a near-even contest rather than a confident away pick.
- Creteil's stronger form and defensive scores, plus a head-to-head edge, explain why the away side carries the higher win probability despite Epinal's Poisson advantage.
- Epinal's attack and Creteil's attack both rate 50, so the goal outlook rests on Creteil's superior defence rather than any clear offensive separation.
- Both teams' recent matches and goal distributions cluster at low totals, supporting the under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Epinal's home scoring is concentrated in one 4-1 win, so their modest home goal average should not be read as reliable attacking form.
- Creteil's away record shows two draws without defeat, which tempers the away win probability and reinforces the draw half of the double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Creteil
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Creteil and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Epinal | Creteil |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Poisson | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Total | 43.7% | 56.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Epinal
Recent form: DDWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Creteil
Recent form: WDLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Epinal 1–1 Creteil (26 Apr 2025)
- Creteil 2–0 Epinal (14 Dec 2024)
- Creteil 0–2 Epinal (01 Apr 2023)
- Epinal 0–1 Creteil (05 Nov 2022)
- Epinal 1–1 Creteil (16 Mar 2019)