Envigado vs Orsomarso Prediction
· Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Match prediction
- Envigado's superior attack, defence, form and Poisson ratings justify favouring them, though the 45-45 split with draw shows the model sees little separating win from stalemate.
- Orsomarso's away record of two wins and six draws in eleven suggests resilience on the road, supporting the double-chance cover rather than a straight home win.
- Envigado's 32-match goals data shows no game exceeding 3.5 goals, directly underpinning the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Orsomarso's 23-match goals data also shows no match exceeding 3.5 goals, reinforcing the low-scoring expectation despite their recent 3-4 defeat.
- Envigado's home defensive record of eight goals conceded across fifteen games, with nine home clean sheets, strengthens the under 3.5 goals case.
- The head-to-head record favours Envigado with three away wins in four meetings, though the lone home fixture was won by the home side.
- Predicted winner
- Envigado
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Envigado or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Envigado | Orsomarso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Defence | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Poisson | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 66.5% | 33.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Envigado
Recent form: WWDLLWWWDLWWLWWLWDDWWWDWDLLLDDDW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Orsomarso
Recent form: WLWDDLLLDWWDLLDWDDWLLLD.
Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Orsomarso 0–1 Envigado (01 Mar 2026)
- Orsomarso 0–1 Envigado (30 May 2025)
- Orsomarso 0–1 Envigado (20 Mar 2024)
- Envigado 1–0 Orsomarso (05 Mar 2024)


