Enna vs Licata Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Licata as winner, but its 45% away probability is matched by a 45% draw probability and only a 10% home chance, so the advice is best read as a slight preference rather than a clear edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Licata dominates form (83 versus 17), attack (100 versus 0) and Poisson (100 versus 0), yet head-to-head and goals both sit at an even 50-50 and the overall totals are much closer at 59.80 versus 40.30. Enna's team analysis shows a winless LLLD record across four matches, with no goals scored at all, four failures to score, and a 0-5 home defeat among three losses, which explains why the attack and Poisson scores are zeroed out. Licata's LDDW record is only modestly better in raw results, but the underlying numbers separate them: Licata has scored three goals and conceded seven, while Enna has scored none and conceded nine, giving Enna a 2.30 goals-against average against Licata's 1.80. The goals analysis adds an important qualifier, since Licata's three goals came in three different matches and never more than one per game, with all four of their matches staying under 1.5 total goals, so their attacking advantage may not translate into a comfortable margin. Enna's defensive record is the more alarming side of the ledger, with six goals conceded at home at an average of 3.00 and all nine goals against arriving after the 61st minute, suggesting late-game vulnerability rather than sustained pressure. The last-five records echo this asymmetry: Enna have lost three of five without scoring in any of those defeats, including a 0-5 home loss to Digiesse PraiaTortora, while Licata's most recent five include a 1-0 win over Ragusa, two 1-1 draws, and a 5-0 away defeat to Reggina that shows their own floor is low. The head-to-head record is split 50-50 across two meetings, with Licata winning 1-0 at home in March 2025 and Enna winning 2-1 at home in October 2024, so it offers no tiebreaker and slightly undercuts the away-side confidence. Taken together, the evidence supports Licata as the more plausible winner on form, attack and defensive stability, but the even head-to-head and goals splits, Licata's low-scoring profile, and the 45% draw probability mean the existing advice should be treated as a marginal lean rather than a strong conclusion.

Predicted winner

Licata

Betting advice

Winner : Licata

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Licata 1–0 Enna (02 Mar 2025)
2. Enna 2–1 Licata (27 Oct 2024)